Economic··Severity 7
How global trade and oil prices could be hit by Houthi advance
Yemen's Houthis have seized territory near the Bab al-Mandab Strait - a key trade gateway for oil and global shipping.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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