Economic··Severity 7
Bond Traders Price in Two Fed Hikes This Year After CPI Report
Traders boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike after hotter-than-expected core US inflation data, with a 90% chance of a move next week and two increases fully priced in by the end of the year.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
Checking access status…