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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Ukraine significantly better prepared for energy attacks than last winter

PM Serhii Koretskyi says Ukraine is significantly better prepared for Russian strikes on its energy system this winter, while warning the war could drag on and any future ceasefire may not hold.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

76%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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