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Military··Severity 9

Morning update

Morning update Good morning Middle East Eye readers, If you're just joining us, here are key developments from across the region: • Houthis take control of Yemen's Red Sea coast, seize Perim Island in the strategic Bab al-Mandab Strait.

• Iraq ordered the closure of the Shalamcheh border crossing with Iran as a precautionary measure after the latest drone attacks on Saudi Arabia.

• Iranian president Masoud Pezeshkian has said Iran’s resistance to the US and Israel was rooted in its opposition to bullying and its support for the oppressed people.

• The Muslim World League and Bahrain have condemned the drone attacks originating from Iraq on the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia.

• US forces have redirected 99 commercial vessels as of 11 September as part of its ongoing naval blockade of Iran.

• The US has asked tankers travelling through the Strait of Hormuz to sail only at specific times to guarantee military protection after Iran stepped up attacks on ships travelling at night.

• Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei, has said the Strait of Hormuz remains and will remain under Iran’s full control.

• Nearly 500 refugees, including women and children, from Yemen have arrived in Djibouti’s coastal city of Obock.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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