Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia's drone war comes to Moldova and Romania
Incursions by Russian drones into Moldovan and Romanian airspace are increasingly common. This week the Ukrainian president's plane was stopped from taking off from Chisinau.
Observers suspect the attacks are deliberate.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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