Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia attacks Ukraine with missiles and drones, strikes reported at 20 locations
Russia launched ballistic and cruise missiles and 129 drones overnight, with strikes reported at 20 locations and Odesa Oblast the main target.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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