← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

Trump calls on Ukraine to stop striking Russian diesel refineries

US president says the attacks and not his war in Iran are responsible for the fuel hitting record highs

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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