Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Saudi Arabia and Houthis trade strikes over Bab al-Mandeb
Houthis accuse Saudi Arabia of launching 129 strikes in 48 hours as fears grow over impact on Riyadh’s oil industry
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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