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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Kiev provoking nuclear incident at Zaporozhye NPP, IAEA must condemn attacks — Rosatom CEO

Alexey Likhachev stressed that this comes on top of the Ukrainian armed forces’ sustained efforts over recent months to destroy Energodar

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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