Military··Severity 8
How Russia’s new drones are changing the air war
Jet-powered Geran-5 model proves Kremlin’s military is also capable of innovation
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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