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Natural··Severity 7

DR Congo says Ebola outbreak 'under control' despite persistent risks

According to the government, all major indicators point to a decline in cases, with 10 health zones affected before the latest expansion of the outbreak reporting no new cases for at least 21 days, while transmission has slowed in several regions in the eastern province of Ituri, the epicenter of the outbreak.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

29%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: CGTN World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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