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Geopolitical··Severity 8

UAE and Iran leaders meet at the BRICS summit for the first time since the war

The talks follow the UAE’s suspension of trade and financial dealings with Iran in August and follow UAE's firm position that trust with Iran "is a mountain to climb" after Iran's attacks on the Gulf countries.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

56%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Euronews

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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