Military··Severity 9
Russia strikes Ukraine with drones as Poland warns of 'escalation'
Russia continues its ramped-up air campaign against Ukraine, launching 453 drones in an overnight blitz.
One drone struck 800 metres from a border crossing with Poland prompting the polish military to scramble fighter jets and helicopters.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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