Geopolitical··Severity 8
Why is Trump warning Zelenskyy not to hit Russian diesel refineries?
Trump blames Ukraine’s attacks for global diesel shortage, linking the crisis to Russia's war rather than US actions.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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