Military··Severity 8
Kiev loses some 1,375 troops along engagement line in past day — Russia’s top brass
Russian airstrikes hit Ukrainian targets in Kharkov, Sumy Regions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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