Military··Severity 8
NATO fighter jets shoot down drone over Lithuania after latest incursion
NATO scrambled fighter jets overnight to shoot down a drone over Lithuania after the latest incursion on the alliance's eastern flank.
Military drones straying into NATO airspace have raised growing concerns that Russia's war in Ukraine could spill over the alliance's borders.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
78%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
Checking access status…