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Natural··Severity 7

Ebola death toll in Democratic Republic of Congo surpasses 3,500

The outbreak has affected seven of the country’s 26 provinces

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

32%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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