Economic··Severity 7
US manufacturers hit by fresh burst of supply chain cost inflation
Donald Trump’s war in Iran and tariffs push up input prices while AI boom squeezes availability of some components
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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