Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia's election commission says State Duma polls facing numerous threats, even attacks
According to Ella Pamfilova, the commission had foreseen a significant portion of the potential threats in advance and prepared for them
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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