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Geopolitical··Severity 8

US democratic decline threatens global rule of law, report warns

Nearly half of US democracy indicators hit 50-year lows, accelerating global stability decline, warns new IDEA study.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

57%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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