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Geopolitical··Severity 8

US diesel prices hit new record high as Trump seeks to blame Kyiv

Average diesel prices in the United States struck a record high of just under $6.27 a gallon Tuesday, pressuring President Donald Trump ahead of midterm congressional elections.

Diesel prices have soared as Washington's war with Iran disrupts the world's flow of fuel, though Trump has repeatedly downplayed the effects of the war, pinning the blame on Kyiv instead for its attacks on Russian oil refineries.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

68%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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