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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iceland’s whaling ban plan threatens to leave Japan alone in defending industry

Iceland’s move towards a whaling ban could leave Japan more exposed than ever as it defends an industry critics say relies on public money, political symbolism and a shrinking domestic appetite for whale meat.

The Icelandic government has announced plans to submit a bill early next year to end whaling – a step that would leave Japan and Norway as the world’s only two nations still carrying out commercial hunts.

For environmental campaigners, the move has renewed hopes that Japan will no longer...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: South China Morning Post

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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