← Scenarios catalogue
Military··Severity 9

Iran war has left US with munitions ‘shortfall’, Pentagon watchdog says

Inspector general warns of ‘industrial base bottlenecks’ after military spent $22bn on ordnance in first four months of conflict

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

Checking access status…