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Military··Severity 8

Middle East live: Iran rejects talks with US after 'mixed signals' from Trump

Iran's security chief on Tuesday rejected talks with the United States, criticising the "mixed signals" from US President Donald Trump after he said he was open to resuming negotiations.

The diplomatic deadlock comes as the US military is facing a shortfall in ammunition as a result of the war, according to a report by the Pentagon's inspector general. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

59%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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