Military··Severity 8
Israel not to withdraw troops from Lebanon until Hezbollah fully disarmed — minister
Defense Minister Israel Katz said the capture of the heights on the Ali al-Taher ridge, including the underground infrastructure, the day before, was "an important step towards fulfilling the task" of disarming Hezbollah
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
68%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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