Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran referred to UN Security Council for nuclear non-compliance
Tehran condemns the resolution, blaming US and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities for disrupting inspections.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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