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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Russia attacks Ivano-Frankivsk, mayor predicts more strikes on Ukraine:'s west

Russian forces attacked Ivano-Frankivsk with Shahed drones on the morning of 13 September. One person was injured and there was also damage.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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