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‘Transitory euphoria’: South Korea’s strong economic outlook masks key hurdles

S7

South Korea’s economy faces uncertainties from rising inflation, a weakening won and uneven performance across sectors, even as it grows stronger than expected this year, according to analysts. The Bank of Korea on Thursday revised its economic growth outlook for this year to 2.6 per cent, up 0.6 percentage points from its forecast three months ago, citing robust exports driven by booming semiconductor demand and government supplementary spending aimed at offsetting the shocks from the Middle...

about 1 month ago
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Oil prices to hit $150? How Indian stock markets may react as Iran war rages on

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Oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel amid escalating Iran–Israel tensions and fears of a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global energy chokepoint. Analysts warn crude could climb to $150 if disruptions persist, raising inflation risks and pressuring Indian equities, which have already seen sharp declines amid foreign outflows, rupee weakness and energy supply concerns.

about 1 month ago
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Modi charisma key factor in BJP's bid to retain all 26 seats in Gujarat

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Gujarat's upcoming Lok Sabha elections are influenced by PM Narendra Modi's charisma, anti-incumbency, unemployment, inflation, education, healthcare challenges, and BJP's endeavor to secure all 26 seats. ​​Lok Sabha polls in Gujarat will be held in a single phase on May 7. Counting of votes will be held on June 4. Anti-incumbency, unemployment, inflation, education and healthcare facilities are some of the other important issues in the election, where the ruling BJP in Gujarat will attempt to retain all the 26 Lok Sabha seats it won in 2019.

about 1 month ago
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Why CEA Anantha Nageswaran says India is facing a ‘Live Balance of Payments Stress Test’

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India faces significant external sector challenges due to rising oil prices, foreign investor exits, and a weakening rupee. Chief Economic Advisor V. Anantha Nageswaran describes this as a "live balance of payments stress test," highlighting pressure on imports, currency stability, and foreign exchange flows. The situation is exacerbated by heavy oil import dependence and regional geopolitical tensions.

about 1 month ago
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US key inflation gauge worsens, eroding Americans’ income and spending power

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A key inflation gauge accelerated in April to the highest level in three years, the latest sign that spiking gas prices and higher food costs are squeezing Americans’ finances. Inflation jumped to 3.8 per cent in April compared with a year ago, the Commerce Department said on Thursday, up from 3.5 per cent in March and the highest since May 2023. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.4 per cent, down from the 0.7 per cent jump in March. The report showed that prices have risen for many items in...

about 1 month ago
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For a yuan in deeper markets, Fed ex-president cites dollar playbook amid risks, criticism

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China has a unique window to internationalise its currency by deepening domestic financial markets, according to a former senior US central bank official who pointed to the evolution of the US dollar and the euro for lessons to be gleaned. The comments from Charles Evans, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, provide a fresh perspective in the growing discussion over whether and how the world’s second-largest economy can transform the yuan into a global currency. Speaking on...

about 1 month ago
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US farmers seek firmer soybean guarantees despite Xi-Trump agriculture pledge

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Across the vast United States, soybean farmers caught in the crossfire of the US-China trade war hoped for a deal on the crop when US President Donald Trump met with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. There was optimism after the two presidents met in Busan, South Korea, in October, when China committed to increased soybean purchases. This time, however, Trump left Beijing without any concrete agricultural announcements, much less one about US farmers’ biggest export. Instead, a general...

about 1 month ago

economic · economic

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Gold slides over 1% as oil surges on Strait of Hormuz closure fears

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Gold prices declined over one percent in early Asian trade Monday. Oil prices jumped sharply, increasing inflation concerns and interest rate expectations. U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged missile and drone assaults in the Gulf region. Federal Reserve chair testimony and economic data will offer policy clues. Gold speculators reduced net long positions while China increased its reserves.

scenario pendingabout 5 hours ago

economic · economic

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Dollar jumps on renewed Middle East attacks, Hormuz closure

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The dollar strengthened against most currencies due to renewed Middle East conflict. This conflict fueled inflation fears and increased rate hike prospects from central banks. Oil prices rose significantly, driving the dollar's upward movement and inflation concerns. Traders now anticipate two Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end. Upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed testimony will remain key focus areas.

scenario pendingabout 5 hours ago

economic · economic

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UK deal to serve as testing ground for India’s Western trade ambitions

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India’s free-trade agreement with the United Kingdom will take effect on Wednesday, offering businesses on both sides immediate tariff relief while giving New Delhi an early test of the concessions, compliance demands and implementation challenges it may face in future deals with other Western powers. UK exports in sectors such as luxury vehicles and spirits are expected to benefit, while Indian textiles and leather products will gain as the agreement eliminates tariffs on 99 per cent of exports...

scenario pendingabout 7 hours ago

economic · economic

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Oil prices spike as renewed US-Iran war threatens global supply route

S7

Oil prices spike as renewed US-Iran war threatens global supply route Oil prices have climbed by more than 3 percent as renewed fighting fuels fears of disruption to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose by $2.67, or 3.51 percent, to $78.68 a barrel. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most important energy routes. About one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption passed through the waterway.

scenario pendingabout 8 hours ago