Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Will There Be World War 3 In 2025 ? What The Status Of Current Conflicts ? Explained

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US trade embargo against Cuba must be lifted — Medvedev

The rapprochement between the two countries stalled after Republican Donald Trump took office in January 2017

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

No one scared by Trump's threats to impose duties for abandoning dollar — Lula

Commenting on Donald Trump’s policies since taking office this January, the Brazilian leader noted that the new president was elected by Americans "to govern the United States, not the entire world"

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

US used info about fighting in Ukraine to assess potential conflict in Asia Pacific

US Army Lt. Gen. Joseph Ryan said that the US army also helps to control illegal migration from Mexico

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Chief of Zelensky office briefs Kellogg on Russia-Ukraine talks

During his conversation with Keith Kellogg, Andrey Yermak also raised the issue of military assistance to Kiev

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Kiev unable to carry out attacks on Russian airfields without US intel — military expert

"This is possible and conceivable only with satellite communications support," Guillaume Ansel said

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

20 suspected terrorists detained by Israeli military in West Bank — IDF

"Israeli security forces will continue to operate to thwart terrorism throughout Judea and Samaria to maintain the security of Israeli civilians," the army emphasized

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Kiev did not notify Trump about plans to attack Russian airfields — White House

When asked about the US administration’s position on Kiev’s attacks on Russian airfields, Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that she would prefer the president to express it

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Turkey expects Russia, Ukraine to hold another round of talks — top diplomat

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan noted that yesterday’s talks yielded major agreements, such as on another exchange of prisoners of war and the sick

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Ukraine’s attack on Russian military airfields raises risks much higher — Kellogg

According to the US special envoy for Ukraine, the US is trying to keep risks down and prevent the conflict from expanding

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Israeli warplanes deliver strike on Syria’s south — IDF

Shortly after, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz blamed the incident on Syria’s transitional government and its head, Ahmed Al-Sharaa

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Houthis say their strike prevented US military plane from landing in Israel

The Israel Defense Forces said on Tuesday evening they had detected a missile launch in Yemen

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

New anti-Russian sanctions ready, need to be approved by Congress, Trump — envoy

US Special Envoy for Ukraine Keith Kellogg emphasized that the restrictions are aimed primarily at Russian oil exports

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Israeli warplanes deliver strike on Syria’s south — IDF

On Tuesday evening, the Israeli military said they had detected the launch of two projectiles from the territory of Syria

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

UN Security Council to vote on draft resolution demanding ceasefire in Gaza

The draft document, obtained by TASS, contains four provisions

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

NATO’s Baltic exercises are part of preparations for military clash with Russia — diplomat

"Of course, such exercises are extremely provocative," Alexander Grushko said

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Russian troops breach Ukrainian defenses near Redkodub in Donetsk region — military expert

The Ukrainian military did not expect such a swift advance by Russian forces and did not properly prepare the second and third defensive lines, Andrey Marochko said

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ukrainian attacks kill over 320 children, injure almost 1,250 in DPR, LPR since 2014

"A total of 247 children were killed and 1,012 were injured during Ukrainian aggression in the Donetsk People’s Republic since 2014," DPR acting head Denis Pushilin stated

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Tehran could weigh nuclear deal with US with Iran-based enrichment consortium — Axios

According to the report, a sixth round of talks on the Iranian nuclear program between the US president’s Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran’s top diplomat, Abbas Araghchi, could be held this weekend in a Middle Eastern country

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Russian troops suppress Ukrainian gun emplacements by combat drones near Dzerzhinsk

The coordinated effort by the Russian personnel allowed assault units to move forward in that frontline area

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Israeli strike on school in Gaza Strip kills 18 people — TV

"Eighteen people, including children, were killed in an Israeli drone strike on tents at a school in the western part of Khan Yunis, where displaced persons were staying," the source said

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Russia uses Lancet loitering munition in protecting Crimea, destroying unmanned boats

Russian troops disabled a Ukrainian crewless boat Magura V7 with the help of a ZALA Lancet reconnaissance and strike system

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Iran’s uranium enrichment secures independence, peaceful atom — supreme leader

Ali Khamenei added that the US and other countries are not interested in Iran's progress and have put forward conditions presupposing a complete halt of uranium enrichment on Iranian territory

June 6, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Zelensky's office to procrastinate in talks for fear of armed radicals — expert

Both ceasefire options proposed by Russia in their memorandum are expected to encounter resistance from Ukrainian political and military structures that benefit from ongoing hostilities - both domestically and in Europe

June 6, 2026

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